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China and Debt-Trap Diplomacy: Fact or Fiction? China and Debt-Trap Diplomacy: Fact or Fiction?

China and Debt-Trap Diplomacy: Fact or Fiction?

Date: Tuesday, March 23, 2021 09:00 - 10:00 Google Calendar Outlook/Apple Calendar
Speaker(s): Deborah Bräutigam, Heiwai Tang
Enquiry: T: +852 3917 1297 | E: agimail@hku.hk
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Watch the replay here

Key takeaways: 

  • The China-Africa Research Initiative’s analyses is twofold; first to understand the dimensions of China’s lending and its role in debt profiles of borrowers in Africa and elsewhere in the developing world; and second, how Beijing and its multiple Chinese lending entities coordinate debt relief.

  • Over 70% of Chinese lending in Africa is focused on economic infrastructure including roads, bridges, railways and ports. Chinese entities provide USD $10b in infrastructure loans each year though Africa’s funding gap remains $50-$100b annually.

  • Misplaced fears of Chinese infrastructure loans and ‘dept-trap diplomacy’ have fed into the larger anti-China narrative within the US-China trade conflict. This is particularly evident when looking at the Hambantota Port in Sri Lanka.

  • A number of misleading narratives have surrounded the project since China became involved. First, the loan for the Hambantota Port was conceived by Danish feasibility studies rather than Chinese. Second, Beijing did not retire Sri Lanka’s debt in exchange for control of the port, rather Colombo used the foreign exchanges from the private-public partnership and lending agreement to bolster its reserves. Third, the terms of the debt–which was lent at a commercial rate–was further relaxed for Sri Lanka over time rather than increasingly onerous.

  • In recent years, Chinese entities have partnered with French companies in port developments and harbors in Nigeria and Cameroon, and with the UK-based Atkins Limited and Canadian firm SNC Lavalin in Sri Lanka.

  • In the Covid-19 pandemic era, we have seen for the first time China joining a multilateral effort to provide debt relief despite overriding and misplaced narratives of Chinese ‘debt-trap diplomacy’ that have escalated tensions in the context of the US-China trade conflict.
About the Speaker(s)
Deborah Bräutigam

Deborah Bräutigam

Deborah Bräutigam is the Bernard L Schwartz Professor of International Political Economy and Director of the China Africa Research Initiative (CARI) at Johns Hopkins University’s School of Advanced International Studies (SAIS).

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Heiwai Tang

Heiwai Tang

Associate Director, Asia Global Institute

Heiwai Tang is Professor of Economics, as well as Associate Director of both the Institute for China and Global Development and the Hong Kong Institute of Economics and Business Strategy at the University of Hong Kong (HKU).

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Notes

“Debt-trap diplomacy” has been used to describe China’s internationalization efforts such as the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) that allegedly force borrowers into ceding state sovereignty over strategic assets in exchange for the funding and development of infrastructure projects. Professor Deborah Bräutigam of Johns Hopkins University will examine case studies of Chinese infrastructure loans including the Mombasa Port Standard Gauge Railway in Kenya (linked to Mombasa Port) and the Port of Hambantota in Sri Lanka and present her findings that dispel the myth of “debt-trap diplomacy” as not only an inaccurate assessment but an unhelpful distraction from (1) the very real challenges of global cooperation to manage default risks in debtor economies; and (2) the large opportunities for China-OECD-developing country business engagement. She will conclude with policy recommendations for China, debtor economies and the global community.

The AGI Public Policy Webinar Series features leading academics and scholars from universities and think tanks around the world presenting current research on global public-policy issues and discussing their significance and implications for Asia and the world. All are welcome.

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