William H Overholt


Dr William H Overholt is a fellow at the Asia Global Institute and has been a Senior Fellow at Harvard since 2008. From 2013-2015 he was also Senior Fellow and then President of the Fung Global Institute in Hong Kong. From 2002-2008 he was Distinguished Chair and Director of the RAND Corporation’s Center for Asia Pacific Policy. He served as Asia regional Head of Strategy and Economics for Nomura from 1998 to 2001. Before that, he was Managing Director and regional Head of Research at Bank Boston Singapore. During 18 years at Bankers Trust, he managed a country risk team in New York from 1980 to 1984 and then served as regional strategist in Hong Kong. At Hudson Institute, 1971-1979 he directed studies for the U.S. Department of State, National Security Council, National Aeronautics and Space Administration, and Council on International Economic Policy.

Dr Overholt is author or co-author of seven books, including Renminbi Rising: The Emergence of a New Global Monetary System (2015); Asia, America and the Transformation of Geopolitics (2008); The Rise of China (1993); Political Risk (1982); and (with William Ascher) Strategic Planning and Forecasting (1983). He is principal co-author of: Asia’s Nuclear Future (1976) and The Future of Brazil (1978). With Zbigniew Brzezinski, he founded the semi-annual Global Assessment in 1976 and edited it until 1988.

Dr Overholt received his BA from Harvard and his PhD from Yale.

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    Other Publications & Blogs

    • “Strengthening ASEAN in a Difficult World.” Keynote Address for the Government of Cambodia-ERIA-Harvard Symposium, Sofitel, Phnom Penh, 31October, 2012.
    • “Chinese-American Relations: A Deeper Look.” Keynote Address for conference on “China in Transition: Asan China Forum 2012.” Westin Chosun Hotel, 11–12December, 2012.
    • “China’s New Leaders: Conservative Immobility or Streamlined Decisions?” PacNet 78 (November 28, 2012).
    • “German Virtue, German Predation.” International Economy (Winter 2012).
    • “Chinese Politics: Rock, Scissors, Paper.” International Economy (Spring 2012).
    • “Reassessing China: Awaiting Xi Jinping.” The Washington Quarterly 35:2 (Spring 2012).
    • “China’s Financial and Monetary Policies.” In China’s Foreign Policy: Who Makes It and How Is It Made. Edited by Gilbert Rozman. Seoul: The Asan Institute for Policy Studies, 2012.
    • “The China Model.” Fudan Journal of Humanities and Social Sciences (June 2011).
    • “Japan: Don’t Waste the Crisis.” PacNet 18A (March 25, 2011).
    • “Japan’s Inexorable Decline” International Economy (Fall 2010).
    • “China and the Global Financial Crisis: Rising Influence, Rising Challenges.” Washington Quarterly (January 2010).
    • “The Rise of the Rest.” Joint Forces Quarterly (2010). Excerpted from a report prepared by the Institute of National Security Studies of the National Defense University on global defence issues for the incoming Obama administration.
    • “Leadership in China & Japan.” In Leadership for Development: What Globalization Demands of Leaders Fighting for Change. Edited by Dennis A. Rondinelli and John M. Heffron. Kumarian Press, 2009.
    • Asia, America and the Transformation of Asian Geopolitics. New York and London: Cambridge University Press, 2008.
    • “Japan’s Economy: At War With Itself.” Foreign Affairs (January/February 2002). Reprinted in Foreign Affairs Anthology. (Spring 2002). Reprinted also in Ronza (February 2002).
    • “China’s Economy and Asia’s Future.” In Economics and National Security: The Case of China. Edited by Kent H. Butts and Edward L. Hughes. Carlisle Pennsylvania: Brookings Institution, the Center for Strategic Leadership of the U.S. Army War College, 2002.
    • “Asia’s Continuing Crisis.” Survival 44:1 (Spring 2002).
    • “China After Deng Xiaoping,” Foreign Affairs (May-June 1996).
    • The Rise of China: How Economic Reform Is Creating a New Superpower. New York, W.W. Norton, 1993.
    • “Broken China.” The International Economy (July/August 1991).
    • “China and MFN.” Testimony to Asia Pacific Subcommittee of House Foreign Affairs Committee, U.S. House of Representatives, 29 May 1991.
    • “Hong Kong and China: The Real Issues.” China and East Asia: Implications for American Policy, Proceedings of the Academy of Political Science, 1991. Edited by Frank J. Macchiarola and Robert B Oxnam. Hong Kong: American Chamber of Commerce, 1991.
    • “The Joint Declaration – Can It Work?” speech to Financial Executives Institute of Hong Kong Open Forum, Hong Kong Club, 11 October 1990.
    • “Deng, Not Gorbachev, May Get the Laurels.” International Herald Tribune, June 27, 1990. Reprinted in Singapore Business Times, June 29, 1990, and in Chinese translation in Wen Wei Po, June 29, 1990.
    • “Hong Kong Will Survive and Prosper.” usAsia (1990).
    • “Burma: The Wrong Enemy.” Foreign Policy 77 (1989).
    • “The Pacific Basin Model: The Moderation of Politics.” In The Pacific Basin. Edited by James Morley. New York: Academy of Political Science. Proceedings of the Academy of Political Science 36:1 (1986).
    • “Hong Kong and the Crisis of Sovereignty.” Asian Survey XXIV: 4 April 1984.
    • Strategic Planning and Forecasting, co-authored with William Ascher. New York: John Wiley and Sons, 1983.
    • Political Risk. London: Euromoney Press, 1982.

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